🎲Prediction (New)

The Prediction Market is a new feature on Rome Finance that allows users to speculate on the short-term price direction of $S, a core asset within the SonicLabs ecosystem. Users can place predictions on whether the price of $S will go up or down relative to a snapshot price taken at a specific time.

This feature introduces an exciting, gamified layer to the Rome ecosystem—offering both entertainment and yield-generating opportunities for participants who can accurately anticipate market movements.

How It Works

1. Snapshot Price At regular intervals, a snapshot of the current $S price is taken. This price becomes the reference point for the prediction round.

2. Pick Your Direction Users can have to lock $ROME until next snapshot to bet on the direction of $S:

   • Bullish: You predict the price of $S will go up from the snapshot price.

   • Bearish: You predict the price of $S will go down from the snapshot price.

3. Lock Your Prediction Each round has a prediction window where users can place their bets for 2 $S. Once the window closes, predictions are locked in until the round ends.

4. Round Settlement At the end of the round, the final price of $S is compared to the snapshot:

   • If your prediction was correct, you receive a share of the prize pool.

   • If you were wrong, your stake contributes to the winnings of the correct side.

Rewards and Distribution

• The prize pool consists of 90% of fees amount generated by all participants in that round.

• Fees is 2 $S per vote

• 10% is taken by the Treasury to support protocol sustainability and fund other ecosystem features such as $bROME yield..

• Winning rewards are distributed proportionally to the size of $ROME, $bROME and LP Creators of each correct bet.

• Prediction winners also earn Sestertius

🏅 Sestertius (Rome Points)

In addition to financial rewards, all participants earn Rome Points — a non-transferable scoring system that reflects user engagement and activity within Rome’s gamified layers.

• Sestertius are distributed at the end of each round based on participation and performance.

• They may be used in the future for leaderboards, special roles, exclusive features, or seasonal rewards.